{"id":6771,"date":"2024-12-09T13:18:53","date_gmt":"2024-12-09T16:18:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/maetinganoticias.com\/?p=6771"},"modified":"2024-12-09T13:18:53","modified_gmt":"2024-12-09T16:18:53","slug":"mercado-eleva-previsao-do-pib-para-339-em-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/maetinganoticias.com\/index.php\/2024\/12\/09\/mercado-eleva-previsao-do-pib-para-339-em-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Mercado eleva previs\u00e3o do PIB para 3,39% em 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Expectativa \u00e9 que Selic chegue a 12% neste ano, segundo Boletim Focus<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

O mercado financeiro trabalha com expectativas de alta em todos os \u00edndices que comp\u00f5em o Boletim Focus divulgado nesta segunda-feira (9) pelo Banco Central. No caso do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB \u2013 a soma dos bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos no Brasil), a previs\u00e3o \u00e9 de que a economia do pa\u00eds crescer\u00e1 3,39% em 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Para os anos subsequentes (2025 e 2026), a expectativa \u00e9 de crescimento de 2%. No boletim da semana passada, o mercado previa que o PIB brasileiro fecharia o ano corrente com um crescimento de 3,22%. H\u00e1 quatro semanas, a previs\u00e3o era de que o pa\u00eds cresceria 3,1%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No segundo trimestre do ano, o PIB surpreendeu, subindo 1,4% em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com o primeiro trimestre. De acordo com o Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estat\u00edstica (IBGE), na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com o segundo trimestre de 2023, a alta ficou em 3,3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

IPCA, d\u00f3lar e Selic<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Expectativas de alta tamb\u00e9m para a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, para a Selic e para a cota\u00e7\u00e3o do d\u00f3lar. Para o mercado, o \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA, considerado a infla\u00e7\u00e3o oficial do pa\u00eds) deve fechar 2024 em 4,84%, percentual acima da previs\u00e3o divulgada na semana passada (4,71%) e h\u00e1 quatro semanas (4,62%). Para 2025 e 2026, e expectativa \u00e9 de que a infla\u00e7\u00e3o do pa\u00eds fique em 4,59% e 4%, respectivamente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

J\u00e1 a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros apresentou alta de 0,25 ponto percentual nas expectativas do mercado, passando de 11,75% para 12%. Quando o Copom aumenta a taxa Selic, a finalidade \u00e9 conter a demanda aquecida, e isso causa reflexos nos pre\u00e7os porque os juros mais altos encarecem o cr\u00e9dito e estimulam a poupan\u00e7a.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No entanto, os bancos consideram outros fatores, al\u00e9m da Selic, na hora de definir os juros cobrados dos consumidores, como risco de inadimpl\u00eancia, lucro e despesas administrativas. Assim, taxas mais altas tamb\u00e9m podem dificultar a expans\u00e3o da economia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quando a taxa Selic \u00e9 reduzida, a tend\u00eancia \u00e9 que o cr\u00e9dito fique mais barato, com incentivo \u00e0 produ\u00e7\u00e3o e ao consumo, reduzindo o controle sobre a infla\u00e7\u00e3o e estimulando a atividade econ\u00f4mica.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Com rela\u00e7\u00e3o \u00e0 moeda norte-americana, as proje\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado financeiro para a cota\u00e7\u00e3o ao final do ano passaram de R$ 5,70, na semana passada, para R$ 5,95. H\u00e1 quatro semanas, o mercado trabalhava com a expectativa de o d\u00f3lar fechar o ano a R$ 5,55. Para 2025, o mercado projeta que a moeda feche o ano valendo R$ 5,77; e para 2026, as proje\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o de que o d\u00f3lar fique cotado a R$ 5,73.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por: Ag\u00eancia Brasil<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Expectativa \u00e9 que Selic chegue a 12% neste ano, segundo Boletim Focus O mercado financeiro trabalha com expectativas de alta em todos os \u00edndices que comp\u00f5em o Boletim Focus divulgado nesta segunda-feira (9) pelo Banco Central. No caso do Produto Interno Bruto (PIB \u2013 a soma dos bens e servi\u00e7os produzidos no Brasil), a previs\u00e3o […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6772,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[832],"tags":[1066,164,908,219,1004,1363],"class_list":{"0":"post-6771","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economia","8":"tag-banco-central","9":"tag-brasil","10":"tag-dolar","11":"tag-economia","12":"tag-ipca","13":"tag-pib"},"yoast_head":"\nMercado eleva previs\u00e3o do PIB para 3,39% em 2024 - Maetinga Not\u00edcias<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/maetinganoticias.com\/index.php\/2024\/12\/09\/mercado-eleva-previsao-do-pib-para-339-em-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Mercado eleva previs\u00e3o do PIB para 3,39% em 2024 - Maetinga Not\u00edcias\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Expectativa \u00e9 que Selic chegue a 12% neste ano, segundo Boletim Focus O mercado financeiro trabalha com expectativas de alta em todos os \u00edndices que comp\u00f5em o Boletim Focus divulgado nesta segunda-feira (9) pelo Banco Central. 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